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Posts published in “Economy”

BlackRock to Oversee the Federal Reserve’s Asset Purchases

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, will oversee the Fed’s efforts to stabilize the bond market. The central bank was tapped during the 2008 crisis, but was slow to disclose the specific terms of its agreement with BlackRock during the last crisis, and even today the full details of what the firm earned have not been disclosed in that deal. The details of the current deal are unknown. 

EU: Let Them Eat Insects

Brussels is moving to permit its member states to serve insects and worms as human food. The European Union’s Food Safety Authority will allow mealworms, locusts, and adult crickets for humans to eat. 

Club of Rome President: “A Different World, a Different Economy is Suddenly Dawning.”

In a recent op-ed, Sandrine Dixson-Declève, co-president of The Club of Rome and co-founder of The Planetary Emergency Partnership, as well as Johan Rockström, a professor and director at The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and co-founder of The Planetary Emergency Partnership, argue in a recent oped that climate change, biodiversity loss and deforestation drive pandemics like COVID-19. The Club of Rome is comprised of former heads of state, UN bureaucrats, and high-level politicians.

The New Normal: Austerity For All

The lock downs, which have swept the globe, are unprecedented. The U.S. economy is expected to wither by at least a quarter––as much as during the Great Depression. While the reduction after 1929 took place over a four-year period, the recent decline will take place over a few months.

Will We See an Asset Bubble or Dollar Devaluation?

With trillions of dollars ready to be injected into the U.S. economy, we could once again see a massive asset bubble, as well as a fundamental re-evaluation of risk/reward ratios for all investments. The historical average of the Price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio) for S&P 500 companies is about 16, meaning investors accept making investments back in 16 years in static market conditions. 

JPMorgan Predicts 20% Unemployment, 25 Million Jobs Lost

As the coronavirus outbreak has resulted in 16.8 million unemployment claims, and approximately one-third of Americans not paying April rent, JPMorgan predicts gross domestic product (GDP) will crater during the second quarter of 2020. 

The Federal Reserve Is Now Buying Junk

The Federal Reserve added junk bonds to the list of assets it can buy as businesses, particularly small businesses, expect to have trouble surviving the lockdowns and following depression. The Fed announced expansions of its corporate lending programs, which will include below investment grade ETFs of companies.

Coronavirus: Nearly A Third of Tenants In U.S. Did Not Pay Their April Rent

Nearly a third of tenants in the U.S. did not pay their rents during the first week of April, according to a landlord group. The research division of The National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC), which accounts for monthly rent payments, found a 12 percentage point decrease in share of apartment households that had paid rent by April 5.

Coronavirus: Truckers Warn Supply Chain Disruptions Loom

Truckers have warned that the nation’s supply chain is in jeopardy. Truckers argue they are hauling goods into COVID-19 hot spots sans protective equipment, testing capabilities or ways to self-quarantine or seek treatment if they become sick.

Coronavirus Oil Crash Threaten’s U.S. Top Spot As Oil Producer

The U.S. is losing its spot as the world’s number one oil producer due to the recent oil price crash, dissipating demand and a collapse in capital investment, according to energy experts. This could become a national security issue.

Denmark Passes Forced Coronavirus Vaccinations Law

Denmark’s parliament passed an emergency coronavirus law on Thursday giving health authorities powers to force testing, treatment and quarantine with the backing of the police.

Manufacturing Slips Into Recession

As the Federal Reserve slashes the cost of money to zero, Coronavirus is requiring closures, cutbacks and social distancing. 

The Coronavirus Outlook & The Global Economy

We’re likely not looking at a full recession like 2008, but global economies will reset amid the coronavirus pandemic. 

The RMB took a 20% hit. The Chinese government put an 175 billion liquidity injection into the markets. (600 million RMB had been destroyed due to Coronavirus existing on the bills.)

Of Toilet Paper And Coronavirus

Of #ToiletPaperGate #ToiletPaper

They’re trending across social media.

We thought it would be masks and latex gloves flying off the shelves.

Instead, it is toilet paper.

This Businessman Thinks The Coming Economic Collapse Will Make People HAPPIER

Businessman Gary Vaynerchuk thinks we should worry about our own [expletive] before economic collapse wipes us out. He’s known for dominating new media and, before that, for making his father’s New Jersey wine business, Wine Library, a leading purveyor of wine’s on the country by hosting a YouTube show where he tasted wines alongside odd meal choices like a bowl of Fruit Loops.

Surging Corporate Debt Could Soon Hit $10 TRILLION

Francois Trahan, a strategist at UBS, has seen U.S. corporate debt increasing by more than 50% this past decade, standing now at nearly $10 trillion. 

Such concerns could steal the show in 2020, he says. The slowing economic activity and a potential decline in corporate earnings could lead to debt downgrades for brands such as Amazon, 3M, and Walmart.

Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan Says Inflation is “Inevitably Going to Rise”

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan issued his latest warning Tuesday about the fiscal situation in the U.S. He says the larger budget deficits ultimately will cause inflation.

The spending shortfall rose to just shy of $1 trillion in fiscal 2019. Greenspan told CNBC that “inflation is inevitably going to rise,” posing larger threats to the economy.

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker Dead at 92

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker died at 92. He was suffering from prostate cancer, according to reports.

“The economic hero of post-World War II America I would have to say was Paul Volcker,” Robert Kavesh, a professor at New York University. “And that’s saying something.”

President Carter appointed Volcker as chairman of the Fed in 1979 amid a stagflation crisis, in which both high inflation an rising unemployment led to gas rationing, etc.Volcker constricted the nation’s money supply and allowed interest rates to rise to more than 18 percent on mortgages.

Six Months In, No End to Hong Kong Protests in Sight

A recent election victory by Hong Kong’s pro-democracy camp led to hundreds of thousands of protestors to take to the city’s streets on Sunday. The largest march in weeks signaled to China’s leader, Xi Jinping, that the protests against his authoritarian policies enjoyed broad support in Hong Kong as the economy weakened and violent clashes between protesters and police made headlines.

Here’s How Goldman Sachs Private Equity Clients Prepare for Recession

Goldman Sachs’ private equity clients are bracing for a recession. “Every one of our clients is focused on being prepared for a recession,” said Alison Mass, the bank’s chairman of investment banking.

While interviewed on Bloomberg TV, Mass said the bank’s clients are creating checklists of ways in which to navigate a recession.

Weak U.S. Industrial Data Leads Array of Worrying Economic Indicators, Gold Remains Steady

There are several reasons experts presently warn of potential economic downturn. China’s growth has been slowing, despite recent positive reports, as the trade war wages on and geopolitical tensions increase. Among others, countries like Singapore and South Korea, who export manufactured goods to China, are slowing.

Positive economic signs do persist, with consumption remaining steady at 2%, and private residential investment increasing in the third quarter of 2019. (though this has steadily declined since the end of 2017). Despite this, business investment has begun to fall.

Global Debt Remains At Record High

Global debt will reach more than $255 trillion, according to the Institute of International Finance. Nearly $32,500 for each for the 7.7 billion people on the planet.

At the end of their report, economists warned that “high debt burdens could curb efforts to tackle climate risk.”

The IIF reported: “Global climate finance flows remain far short of what’s needed for an effective transition to a low-carbon economy.”

Trump Official: Tariff Rollback Rumor Started By “Propagandists Within the Chinese Government”

Beijing and Washington won’t be reducing some punitive tariffs on each other’s goods – at least according to the Trump White House. Talks on the trade war, it would seem, are not progressing as promisingly as reports indicated.

Reports surfaced that a new agreement originated during discussions to iron out a “Phase 1” deal between the two countries. A “phased cancellation” of tariff hikes were agreed to in the event of progressing trade talks, according to the Commerce Ministry spokesman, Gao Feng.

Moody’s: The Financial Crisis Traumatized Millennials and Made Them Unhealthy

The poor health of millennials could put a damper on the U.S. economy, according to Moody’s. It is more common for millennials, who are born between 1981 and 1996, to suffer from hypertension, high cholesterol, depression, and hyperactivity than their Generation X counterparts at the same point in their lives.

Moody’s Analytics found the data in a report by Blue Cross Blue Shield, concluding that by the year 2027 health costs for young adults could be 33% higher than they were for Generation X at the same page. This could lead to lower wages, Moody’s argues.

Centrals Banks Issuing Digital Currency is Inevitable, says Federal Reserve President

Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Patrick Harker said on Wednesday it is “inevitable” that central banks will issue digital currency. He also said the United States should not be the nation to lead such a move. He had been asked about the Fed’s creation of “FedNow,” its own real-time payments system. The comments were first reported by Reuters.

“Frankly I don’t think we should be the first mover as a nation to do this,” Harker said at a St. Louis community banking conference. He noted the dollar’s status as world reserve currency and underscored the need for experimentation and tests when it comes to such technology.

Analysis: Human Civilization Could Collapse by 2050

Human civilization will collapse by 2050, according to an Australian climate change analysis endorsed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander.

According to the analysis, which was published by the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, a think-tank based in Melbourne, Australia, climate change is “a current and existential national security risk” that “threatens the premature extinction of Earth-originating intelligent life or the permanent and drastic destruction of its potential for desirable future development.”

As AMLO’s MORENA Party Wins Big in Mexico Election, Trump’s Tariffs Loom

The National Regeneration Movement, known as MORENA and led by Mexico President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO), won two governorships and many local elections in yesterday’s vote, which took place in six Mexican states.

The elections underscore AMLO’s popularity nearly one year after he easily won the Presidency, and his party won majorities in both houses of Congress. No Mexican President since 1997 has won such a broad mandate.

The vote marks the first since AMLO’s inauguration in December. MORENA won governorships in Baja California and Puebla. It also won mayoral offices and seats in statehouses.

Another Cold War Is Inevitable, This Time With China

A cold war in the 21st-century seemed unlikely… until now.

Tariffs by the United States on $200 billion worth of Chinese products and retaliatory tariffs by China on $60 billion worth of American goods went into effect on Monday.

While the United States and China are competing for global supremacy, they maintain mutual agreements to handle their complicated relationship. But, the tide might be turning…

What’s A Bull Market And How Did We End Up In The Longest One Ever?

A bull market is when stock prices continue increasing by 20 percent from a previous drop of 20 percent, or when the securities market keeps rising. Bull markets can also refer to other markets like housing, investment, or commodities.